I've gotten alchemy to almost 24 now, and I'm working on cooking (almost 22) and I've noticed what is becoming a frequent occurrence. I will successfully complete a synth say, 10 times, with relative ease. The next 10 (same synth with slightly more gear durability loss) will all be horrific fails. I have decent crafting gear (including up to date tools), I understand how crafting works (ie. I'm not spamming rapid regardless of orb color then going "duh.. um. why did I broke this?"), and I use support either when it's recommended, or for synths I know are my level or higher.
I haven't accounted for moon phase. Could it make that big a difference? Even if it did, my sessions are continuous, 50 synths at a time. I think I can rule that out.
According to the Eorzea Clock Gadget I have on my desktop, there is an hourly element. Is this something I should watch out for?
I'm physical level 37, so I have a fair amount of element attribute points. Currently they're divided evenly among all elements. Speaking of attributes, I think I'm fairly well set up with my 'attribute points'. High 70's in dex. and piety for fishing, 50 something vitality, and 75 int. for alchemy and conjurer, and my mind is in the 60's.
Outside of the controllable factors I mentioned above, I know the game, crafting in this instance, might not be working exactly as intended by the developers. Ha! "Might not" I say.
Anyway, has anyone else noticed this? Am I missing something? Is it just dumb luck? I crafted in FFXI (yes I know, different game) and I've had bad luck, but this is like swishing 10 free throws on a basketball court, and then completely missing the backboard on the next 10.
-- Edit --
It seems that while I was writing this post out of frustration on my 6th failed synth in a row, the 'fail bubble' has passed, for now.
Edited, Oct 20th 2010 3:53pm by mattkujata