digitalcraft, Goblin in Disguise wrote:
Prices will go down.
1) available supply will be easier to access, so competition will exist.
2) When people can just buy the component parts off the market, they'll only need to sell for a small markup to make profit.
3) the component parts will be the same way, only a small markup, kept low by competition, over the gathered stuff.
4) the difficulty of gathering the parts and rarity of crafters that can put the part together will set the price.
People can't just buy components off the market because they are nearly impossible to find in a timely fashion. Prices will go down for items that only few can make, but if we ever get a functioning market I foresee prices to go up in the future. The money supply in FFXIV constantly swells at a very rapid rate and sooner or later it must have an effect on prices.
Prices going up and expensive are too different things though.
I don't doubt prices may go up eventually because money is entering the game at a rapid rate with very little meaningful gil sinks. That does not mean things are more expensive though, it will be the product of inflation, where not only gear has a higher price, but shards, mats, and everything else will also have a higher price.
If the average income of a person in the U.S. was $10K, and product X was $1K, then yes that would be expensive.
If the average income of a person in the U.S. was $100K, and product X was $2K it would not be as expensive as the first scenario even though the price is higher.
So basically, yes prices may rise, but I don't think they will rise as fast as inflation. Eventually I think the supply is going to be so great that inflation won't matter as much either. Again, look at FFXI, a NQ Item is worth less the what you could sell the mats for. Eventually that's going to be what happens to this game. Because raw mats have a benefit that pushes it past NQ gear, and that benefit is SP and the chance for + gear. Rich people going for + gear will probably end up vendoring NQ stuff anyways. Edited, Dec 6th 2010 1:12am by Strifexx
Strife Nii ~ Conjuror 49, Botanist 37, Mining 33, Thaum 32, Culinary 27, Goldsmith 22