Most of the current player base in 14 is waiting for the game to get better or waiting for the next MMO to come out. Unless they preform miracles on 14. And the new MMO doesn't look good at all. The new MMO wont just take some of the player base it'll decimate it.
Then again who will ever trust SE to make a good MMO ever again? Over 8 years of experience on FFXI didn't stop them from ignoring beta players and releasing a train-wreck. History has a tendency to repeat.
Edited, May 26th 2011 3:37pm by Kayako
It's not hard. People really don't care that much about studios.
1. Get some great screenshots, generate buzz with exciting, "next-gen" features.
2. Have a VERY SUCCESSFUL OPEN BETA, like Rift.
3. Have a VERY SUCCESSFUL LAUNCH. No big server issues, no stupid payment issues.
4. Advertise. WoW didn't get to be #1 by keeping quiet. From the first time I checked out the WoW website after a friend told me about it, I was seeing WoW ads in every freaking newspaper website I visited. I had no idea what Blizzard was, I never really liked Warcraft or Starcraft or Diablo, but I heard WoW was fun so I checked it out--and it was easy, cuz I could try it for free.
SE's gonna have to put some groundwork into this, but their failure with FFXIV will absolutely not be a critical factor in the success or failure of their next title.