Professor Dyrwydi wrote:
Considering the new information released yesterday, plus the email earlier answering ZAMs questions about content I think it is safe to presume that at the very least FFXIV can expect to stop taking on water sometime within a year of releasing v2.
No, that is not a safe assumption at all. It may happen, it may not. Remember the hype before FFXIV was released? The game sounded terrific on paper. Games always sound great before they are released, developers and PR people make sure it does. Nothing is proven until the game is officially released.
I think most of what I'm hearing about 2.0 sounds exciting and I look forward to it. However, I, nor anyone else, have actually played it. Besides, even if it is actually really good, there are so many other things going against SE that it will still be hard to overcome.
- The game will be a couple years old before 2.0 is released. Most gamers are interested in the newest and greatest. It is a lot to expect them to see this as a "new" game and jump on board.
- The PS3 is getting late in its life cycle, even at the supposed 10-year life span. The excitement of playing an MMO on the new generation console, just isn't there.
- MMOs in general have never really done well on consoles. It is a lot to expect the console version of the game to carry all the weight that the PC hasn't been able to.
- There is no guarantee major game reviewers will grant SE's wish to have the game re-reviewed a couple years after the horrible ratings across the board.
- Even if reviewers review 2.0 as a new game, you can guarantee they will be as critical as they can be. Even if the game is a lot better, I don't expect to see many 5-star reviews for the game, and anything less will likely not be able to pull people back.
- MMOs are already a risky endeavor. This one however is pretty much the equivalent of making 2 MMOs and getting the profits of one. Those "great" box sales will not be gone for 2.0, as everyone who already purchased the original won't be purchasing the second.
- No MMO has ever overcome a failed launch to go on to be successful. SE is hoping that will be the case, years after the initial release. That is a lot to expect out of gamers.
All that being said, I still think the game has a shot. The current team seems to be doing things the right way and 2.0 looks promising. But, again, it just looks promising. Only time will tell if it will deliver on that promise.