Let's look at the poll.
First, it's limited to fantasy MMOs, so Wildstar isn't included. I'd have expected Wildstar to be a major draw on a more generic upcoming MMO poll.
Second, the only thing I've heard about ArcheAge is the name. And I guess by its inclusion here, it's probably a fantasy MMO. That's it though.
Third, we have our poster child for why NDAs exist in betas, TESO. That leaked footage a while back really removed most everyone's hope for that one. It's going to have some catching up to do right out of the gate.
In a field like that, yeah, I'd expect FFXIV to come out on top. The media releases have been tightly controlled, and while the marketing could be better, I expect that to pick up closer to release.
If random outcomes aren't acceptable to you, then don't play with random people.